Liquidity & Inflation Engine

Macro Momentum • Purchasing Power Decay • Yield Curves

Systemic Regime
⚖️ Transition Regime
Liquidity Score: 0

Liquidity Indicators

2Y Treasury Yield: 3.93%
Fed Balance Sheet: 7.12T
Effective Fed Funds: 3.62%

Inflation Tracking

Official CPI (YoY): 3.3%
ShadowStats (2026): 11.3%

USD Purchasing Power Loss

What $1,000 buys over time:

Timeline$ Value (Off.)$ Value (SGS)Deval (Off.)Deval (SGS)
1 Year$968.05$898.473.2%10.2%
10 Years$722.76$342.8127.7%65.7%

Average Devaluation

Mean of Official vs. ShadowStats:

1 Year Average: 6.8%
10 Year Average: 50.6%

Context: This average blends the BLS Official CPI with the ShadowStats 1980-methodology. While official figures include adjustments like hedonics and substitution, ShadowStats captures a fixed-basket cost increase. This "middle-ground" metric provides a balanced estimate of actual currency decay.

Historical Yield Comparison (20Y)

M2 Money Supply (20Y)

U.S. M2 Money Stock in Trillions (USD)

Last Updated: 2026-06-02 20:48:31